I was visiting a friend's church one day some years ago when I was stationed in California. On the wall was a very small needlepoint picture of Noah's Ark. Below the picture was a caption that "struck me to the very depth of my soul"!
The caption read: "It wasn't raining when Noah Built the Ark".
Somehow, that little picture and caption changed me because it made me get moving. I had always felt "something was coming during my life time" since I was 8 years old. As I am now 64, I seem to think it is closer than ever, and yet, who knows?
In about 1975, I began to observe a slow, systematic and methodical change in our country that convinced me to "learn those basic living skills" that my great grandparents would have used. I started with a garden, then I got chickens, and on I went. Each time I had the opportunity, I either got a book to show me how to do something or just started doing it to find out if I could do it or not.
Time changed my life and since they kept "giving a war" they would keep "inviting me back" because of the "stuff" that I knew. As time went by, I did get the opportunity to have my own place a little way out in the country by 1997 so I had 4 acres and a little barn behind the house. the garden was about 25x75 and I was able to get a nice little Ford 1310 with a number of implements to make my garden happen a bit quicker since time was limited for me.
That went on till about 2003 when I moved to VA and got a 10 acre place a bit more out in the country, but still WAY too close to "civilization" or only about 60 miles from W.DC. I studied post/beam carpentry and built a nice barn during my "off hours" and finished it in 2006. Not realizing how close to retirement I really was, and through a long series of interesting turns, ended up buying a farm in NE SDAK where I now live.
I first came to SDAK in the last week of August, 2001. I left the night of 8 SEP and was very, very nervous flying back to FL where I was stationed. I was accustomed to flying so that was particularly strange. Three days later, I found out why I had that feeling.
After doing some "ciphering" regarding my "retirement eligibility dates" I discovered that I had enough leave accrued to be able to go on terminal leave in two weeks and stay gone till my retirement date. I got in my truck, pulled my little tractor, my Harley Davidson FXDL and my tools and left for the "wilds of SDAK"
Since coming here, the feeling of "urgency" to be ready for TSHTF has been steadily working on me. Each of you has been writing about things you think you should be doing to be ready for this and nothing could be closer to the truth.
Some of you talk about propane refrigerators vs 12 volt. Some talk about generators and the list goes on. ONE person mentioned that he didn't like propane because it was possibly not going to be available for very long after an "incident" and that all energy would become so out of price range or just plain not available as to be not worth spending good money on NOW.
That is, IMHO, the most important consideration. Many of you discuss things as though a major incident would be a short term, relatively minor inconvenience. I am NOT of that opinion. I agree with those of you that in order to be able to deal with the impending "incident" we really need to be completely prepared to live in the 19th or early 20th century. I know some will have to revert to a much earlier period because they did NOT foresee and prepare but those who do will probably have the option of retaining some of the technological luxuries such as electricity can afford, as long as they begin to "make hay while the sun shines" and friends, I believe the sun IS still shining but that the storm clouds are nigh on close. YMMV
To that end, having even one solar panel or one small wind turbine or just a well pump, etc. will make things a bit better. Imagine if the lights go out suddenly, how will you adapt say in 6 months? There certainly won't be any gasoline to be had at the pump, no grid electricity to be had and the city folks will be nearly finished at killing each other to get a scrap of food and water. Their sanitation will be "NON-existant" and well, you can extrapolate the rest. Many will die, simply because they don't have food, medicine or care because they are elderly and weak.
Some on this Forum predict 80-90% casualty rates and from what I see, that might just be somewhat realistic particularly in urban/suburban locations. Remember 82% of the population lives in cities. Major inconvenience there will result in very high casualty rates through either violence, disease (cholera, typhoid,etc) or lack of life sustaining medications.
Of course there will be the strong, young warrior/criminals from the city who will venture out into the country hoping to steal what they need to live and will form small or maybe even larger gangs to perpetrate whatever evil and crime they choose. Then of course there will be the folks in the country who did prepare or lived that way prior to the "incident" and some that didn't (but they can "learn quickly") It won't take long before the SSS philosophy of the folks out in the country convince the roaming bands of criminals to leave them alone though. (SSS=shoot, shovel, shutup)
Where am I going with this? The answer is simple. I stated it at the beginning of this post. "It wasn't raining when Noah built the Ark".
Start now. Change your buying habits to include things that will store for LONG PERIODS of time. Dry goods of all description. Stay away from canned foods because there are over 1000 Executive Orders that have been issued by the current POTUS regarding everything from the G'vt taking anything it wants "in the interest of national security". READ THEM. They ARE authorized by THIS POTUS to come and take your food and a long list of "whatever they deem necessary. Remember, at some point, you are going to have to start growing that stuff all over again so be thinking about how that will be done, too!
Now if we think about this logically, we can ask, "What will they take?" and the most likely items in the immediate period are things that are easily eaten without the need for much or any work/energy. Canned foods, etc.
So, what should we do as law abiding citizens of a now threatened nation? My recommendation is to start now. Get things that are able to be transformed into food but that will not be readily obvious to anyone who is willing to either steal or confiscate what you have. Get large volumes of dry goods, grains, and the ability to pump and purify water.
Has anyone actually done a complete survey of their house and surroundings to determine exactly what they have and what they need to survive in a situation where the economy has dissolved and there IS NO transportation system or one that will NOT be able/ready to re-start for a protracted period of time?
That is where I think I would start. Inventory what you actually do have and then take note of exactly what you USE. Determine how you will get or store what you use so that you don't run into a dilemma of not being able to get to town for the milk, eggs, bread, etc. that folks run around for now.
If you begin to examine what it would take to MAKE what you need and to realize that if you can't make it or can't get the raw materials to make it, you will have to do without it unless those in your immediate area are willing to barter time for things or vice versa. But even that will have a time frame after which the social system will need to be reconstructed. Therein lies my interest.
I have for some time wanted to assemble a group of folks who possess certain skills that were common and productive when my great grandfather was a boy as well as ones that are important/useful now. He survived long enough to bring my grandfather into this world and he came to this country in 1909. My mother's family came to this country in 1615 (yes, before the Mayflower) They all survived long enough to produce descendants of which I am one. They lived...so we can do it too!
The concept would be similar to the crew of a submarine who have all "earned their dolphins." The meaning of that is when a man enters the crew of a sub, he is supposed to have a primary skill for which he is trained before he gets there. After arriving, he is expected to be able to learn every other man's skills so that in the event of a casualty, any man can fill in for the injured man, particularly if saving the life of the submarine is in question.
I remember as a boy going to a fair every year in Kutztown, PA. which was run and staffed by the Pennsylvania Dutch community. I would go from tent to tent, studying the skills they used to live during the early times and they had a tent for EVERYTHING, including a gallows where at 12PM every afternoon, they would demonstrate the hanging of a woman who had murdered her baby. While that horrified me to think about from every aspect of my being, they were able to demonstrate THEIR way of operating a society and of having "the rule of law" in it. They had a tent for the cooper, the baker, the candlestick maker, the cobbler, the undertaker, the spinning of wool and the list goes on. All the skills required to live in THEIR time frame and technological level. I spent hours learning to use a foot-treadle wood lathe there. I learned the things I needed to know but didn't get the experience to do many of them until much later in life. Now I know WHY I was taken there as a young boy.
What skills are important? There are a long list of 18th century skills? How about making electricity? How about water purification and sanitation? How about farming grain and livestock.? I can go on but the idea here is to find out who has the skills that would allow us to adapt to a major change by cooperating with each other as if we had come to this continent (or to this planet) for the first time? What are the things of THIS time that we can retain so that we can live a more comfortable life after a major incident, raise our children and move forward with our purpose for being here? How many of us have said, "If I knew then what I know now?" Well, this is just such a consideration. If we have to go back to THEN, what advantages of knowledge can we take with us so that we can eventually come back to as close to now as possible?
Here is a list of skills that seem critical to the future in the setting we are discussing. While it is not by any means "all encompassing" there are a mix of old skills and new skills, some of which depend on old resources and some of which rely solely on current or at least mid to late 20th Century resources:
1. Growing your own food
2. Obtaining and filtering a steady source of water
3. Securing your home and possessions
4. Providing intermediate level medical care
both at the individual level and public health issues
5. Operating alternative power
6. Raising livestock for food/Hunting
7. Communications
8. Jack of All trades
basic carpentry skills;
welding,
plumbing; fluid dynamics
electrical work
9. animal husbandry/bee keeping
10. making soap/candles
11. sewing,
12. leather-working
13. knitting
14. cooking.
baking
15. Butchering/meat cutting/preservation
16. Forager
17. Weatherman
18. Diesel Engine (we can grow fuel for a Diesel engine)
19. Making electricity and building electrical motors/generators
20. Heating/cooling/refrigeration
As I think about it there are more skills that belong on this list and if one thinks long and hard enough, one could use such a list as the curriculum for teaching preparedness to anyone who is interested.
In some of these skills, I am very experienced, at others, only somewhat...(I didn't do well when I tried to learn to knit, and some not at all. I know nothing of Diesel engines or heating/cooling or refrigeration.) Obviously, people with engineering knowledge will be of significant help in such a situation as we might face when TSHTF.
While these skills are only a partial list, they are also not in any particular order of importance except that perhaps foraging and weather prediction may be somewhat more difficult in some sense.
Of importance is that these are some of the skills that all individuals should have, not just one particular skill. There are of course a significant number of more "esoteric" skills that would be important for at least one person in any group to have as what we called in the service "Primary MOS" with all the others at some level of mastery so as to be able to serve not only the immediate family but the town/group as well.
In my GreatGrandfather's day, we didn't know why food spoiled or why wounds got infected. They just did. We know a lot about public health now that wasn't available to them. We get to keep those things as long as people remember that stuff or we keep our books, etc. Eventually, we will even run out of bullets...what then? Albert Einstein once said, "I don't know what we will use to fight the next war, but the one after that will be fought with sticks and stones".
The difference that I see here is that there will still be "stuff" left behind. Much of that stuff will be serviceable if we can produce energy to use it. But we still need folks who understand that stuff, how it works and how to fix it and perhaps how to build another one. So what we REALLY need to protect is our knowledge of things that have been learned up to now. Apparently, we have eaten a big part of that "APPLE" that was forbidden to Adam..."...but of the tree of knowledge of good and evil, thou shalt not eat" Therein lies a great dilemma.
I believe it is clearly time to assemble those types of groups of people with skills. None of us can be truly and completely Self-sufficient unless we leave society as we know it and survive in the wild like Grizzly Adams. Not likely if we have any family about whom we care at all and not likely to live very long out there, either.
So, I offer these things to you for your thoughts and consideration. I think the time is growing short and the storm clouds are just over the horizon. While many in this continent think "that can't happen in this day and age" I would say,
"Fine, and I'll bet you still wait for Santa Claus on 25 DEC but as for me, I'll put some things away so that winter won't seem so harsh when it finally arrives." I always think back to the passage, "...and there were, in those days, shepherds abiding in the fields tending their flocks by night. And a host of angels appeared unto them..." (Can THAT happen now or is that impossible too?) OK, I'm drifting a little here...
We don't need to revert to the Stone Age here; but figure out ahead of time what technological advances we can KEEP despite a major societal catastrophe such that the skill set of the 21st century is not completely lost.
That is where I believe we need to focus so that when TSHTF, we will be able to "shift gears" and get on with life. Yes, we'll have to do some "surviving" but in my estimation, I want to return to "living" as soon as it is possible, knowing full well that MY ride is getting shorter simply due to the natural order of things.
What do YOU think?