Feed prices

farmerjan

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there's a lot in here to reply to and i won't be able to do that.

my take is that if you are worried about a minimum wage requirement that doesn't affect you directly unless you are paying someone else. IMO for a self-sufficient organic grower of produce there are limited input costs, feed prices are a different consideration, but if you are buying from someone else who is also doing organic production then input costs can be lower, labor costs may have to go up, but to me when looking at whole system costs anyone doing organic production no matter what the labor costs might be should be able to out-compete a larger ag-chem grower. simply because lower input costs.

if you want to debate that it's ok with me, but to me that would primarily deal with the idea that you are working either in a mono-crop situation or not being able to scale effectively to compete, but that's a cost of equipment which a smaller grower shouldn't get too embedded in dealing with. if you're not doing ag-chem stuff then you're also possibly able to avoid a lot of the other expensive equipment.

this is all me winging it on a short bit of time here so, well, ignore it if you want, just some comments on things how i see them.

if you want to talk more about growing things and gardening i spend a lot more time on TEG because i am primarily a gardener and not doing things with animals and feeding issues.
There may be lower input "costs" because of not using ag-chems on say organic crops..... BUT..... the input in either manual labor or mechanized labor with these crops needing more frequent things like weeding...... do you have any idea of the number of times a crop needs to be weeded before it gets big/tall/large enough to shade out competitor weeds???? So any farm that is organic is going to be paying more out in wages if they do things manually.
The cost of machinery to do the mechanized weeding is more expensive comparatively because of the specialization of it. It costs more to put out an organic crop from start to finish than for a crop that uses some ag-chemicals. And the yields are lower 90% of the time, because of some plants succumbing to pests and other plant diseases. There is more compaction of the soil by having to make multiple passes down the fields too. No matter the size of the farm; if you do all manual work, there is a limit to what one person is capable of doing.... so you need more people to cover larger areas or multiple crops....Increased wages paid..... or you need mechanical equipment.

If you go mechanical, then your costs will go up with increases in gas/fuel/oil etc for normal useage.

We have to hire some help to do things like make sq bales. With my knee issues, we hire some help to work cattle through the chute before taking to pastures for the summer. We have help to also gather them all in and bring back in the late fall to wean calves, preg check, and do what needs to be done. We trade off help with others so that it is not so much out of pocket.... but when people do stuff to help us and they don't need any help in return, we try to do something else for them..... sometimes it is something as simple as buying a roll of net wrap for them to use in their baler.... but that is out of the pocket cost for us.... even though it is not anything we would ever begrudge for the help... it is in a way "paying for the help".....and they will do the same.... I have hauled cattle for a couple to the stockyard and not charged them.... time or fuel.... told them to work it out with DS in trade down the road....
And my comments about having to keep tightening the belt was in part directed towards thing like dairy farmers.... because that is who I work with all the time. I have one that is organic and his production is abysmal in comparison to a "conventional" farm that grows 90% of all their own feed.... because organic grain and hay is 4 times what "conventionally grown" feed is.... and the price for the milk is only about 2 - 2 1/2 times what conventional milk is but the production is 1/3 without the expensive inputs of feed grain. He is no better off.... and then there are the restrictions that if a cow gets mastitis, she cannot get a "conventional" drug to treat it.... so often they will lose a quarter or have to be culled if her somatic cell count can not be brought under control.
The thing that gets to me is that everyone that professes to want all organic.... does not stop to take into account that there is no anti-biotics tolerated in the milk supply. Every tankful that goes off the farm is tested.... and they are penalized and the milk IS DUMPED if it is found to have anti-biotics.... and if it is co-mingled on the truck/tank, the farmer with the anti-biotic reaction IS RESPONSIBLE FOR THE WHOLE TANKER LOAD of milk.
If a cow gets sick, you are not allowed to use anything not on the list to treat her.... if she gets coliform mastitis, you have a 12 hour window to save her with anti-biotics if she gets real sick. Coliform (e-coli) is ENVIRONMENTAL.... they can get it from laying down in a nice green field that is wet from excessive rain.... but, if you treat her, she cannot EVER go back in the tank....
If your kid or your parent or grandparent or cousin gets a bad infection.... and you cannot get ahold of it in a reasonable time are you going to just say tough..... or give them an anti-biotic????? There are cases where anti-biotics are lifesavers. Do I think they have been overused..... YES CERTAINLY..... but there is a point of common sense too. So that is why I do not wholly promote organic farming when it comes to animals..... I grow an organic garden... have for 40 or more years.... and I do not like all the pesticides and herbicides being used. I think that we can do better with more WHOLISTIC type farming and gardening... But ... I also realize that there are trade offs for every type of farming.... and the cost may be too much for many farmers to pay if the input costs keep going up and the return does not. People are not going to be able to afford the increases... like was said, the increased wages will cause everything to go up as it will trickle down into everything that is sold one way or another.
I don't think that they will get the $15/hr minimum wage passed; but I do think it will go up some. If more businesses say they cannot afford to pay it, or scale back then there will be more out of work; more unemployment, more strain on the businesses that stay open..... and a lowering of quality of life for many more than will benefit from it.
 

farmerjan

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I am lucky that I live within 5 miles of 2 different exits off the interstate so available gas/fuel.... and a couple of those places have generators to be able to run the truck stops in event of power outages. I am still in the countryside, but not as far away as I used to be. Still, I don't run the tanks below a quarter either.... you neve know when you have an emergency that you might not have time to stop and fill up. In fact, I usually try to fill up at a 1/2 tank just as a precaution. Plus, psychologically, a half tank fill up is not so painful money wise, as a nearly empty tank fill up.
The little 4x4 's gas gauge doesn't work.... ALWAYS hit the "trip" button so I know how many miles and never run it past 200 before I fill up. Better than having to go get gas on a MINUS 10 day or a blowing snow storm.... or get stuck in the back field that I had to go help a cow calve and a cold calf in the floorboard getting warmed up with the heater going full blast.....
Saw a 2.99 price on diesel today too.... :th:th:ep:hit:hit:hit
 

Hardknockshomestead

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New song came to mind. Hope you don't mind me writing it down. I think I'll call it, I'm like a

I'm, like a long highway
the road, that guides your way
Then follows you back home again

I'm, like a street light shining
The white light blinding bright
Turning off and on again.

It's times like these to learn to live again
It's times like these to give and give again
It's times like these to learn to love again
It's times like these, time and time again

I'm like a new day rising
a new sky shining
To hang the stars upon again

I'm like a breath of fresh air
I'm everywhere
To breathe in and out again

It's times like these to learn to live again
It's times like these to give and give again
It's times like these to learn to love again
It's times like these, time and time again
Thank you for sharing your song with us! Many of us need hope.

In your song I hear a spiritual tone of guidance for our lives; that there is a light for us to walk by as we navigate through this darkness over our beloved nation.
 

HornyToadAcres

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I watched the neighbors from the front door today. Cute laughing and screaming childern bundled from head to toe getting pulled through the corn field on a toboggan behind a 4 wheeler, having the time of their lives. Made me wish I was a kid again.

My pond is frozen up, yet another answer to prayer. So this weekend I'll be cutting out saplings that have grown around the bank. I'm not Jesus, I can't walk on water. Water has to be frozen first before I can walk on it with my chainsaw. Wive says I'm crazy, I said: that's why you love me.

No better day or time to be alive, than right here, right now! I'm loving life!!! When my number is up, there's absolutely nothing I can do to stop it. Each day the good Lord allows me to roll out of bed in the morning and get on my knees and pray to Him. Is another day closer to being with Him. It's OK, I really dig where I'm going \o/

Two certainties in life, Death and Taxes, I can't prevent either one. No sense in worrying about either one. Live for today, now is the time to live life to its fullest! Did I mention, I'm loving life?

Today is the day, The Lord has made. I will rejoice and be glad in it!

I wonder... if I'll get an AMEN! or you are plum nutty? It doesn't really matter either way...
AMEN

I have no fear of death. I know He is coming back one day but I don't profess to know when. I am pretty focused on living in the here and now though I know whose I am and where is my true home. I am sad to see this Great Experiment potentially come to its end. Feels premature to me.
 

Britesea

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The thing with us and might apply to some here as well. Is we live 21 miles to the nearest gas station ⛽. So we try hard to have at least 1/4 tank of gas all the time. If the power is out in town the next town with a gas station is 37 miles away. Yep 😀 I live in the boonies of corn cob.
We tend to only go into town once a week, and we refill the tank when we get home (mom and pop in our town). It's usually only a couple of gallons, but I remember my Dad telling me that the emptier the tank is, the more the gasoline will vaporize (especially in the heat), and you get reduced mileage. This also protects us a bit more from sudden rising costs, and a shut-down.
 

CrealCritter

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Oh and I forgot to add... The more you pay for an item (see my previous reply) the more sales tax you also pay. Sales taxes is based on how much you spend on a item(s), it's paid in a percentage. Simple grade school math is all that's required to understand the truth.

So there you go... double whammy for the poor and middle class and a bump for Govt. See how that works?
 
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farmerjan

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Comment from the Permian Basin Oilfield...

When the barrel price of oil gets up to $50 and over, you will start to see some more production. However, if, as in one of those EO's that were supposedly not the "right way to govern," no more lease permits are granted, the available permits will eventually run out. We had a moment of energy independence...sigh.

The world market was glutted with oil. Not sure of the current situation on that as I have had to stop with most of my media consumption in order to retain a little bit of my sanity. Anyway, that also affects exactly what goes on re oil production in the US as well as prices at the pump. If we continue as started last month, I'm guessing gas/diesel will hit the $4 range by summer. And fuel prices affect the price of pretty much everything.

BTW, lots of wind turbines here and I know folks in that industry. Did you know that a wind turbine does not pay for itself over the course of its functional life? I am all for developing alternative and renewable sources of fuel but we have got to be smarter about it than we have been so far. For one thing, there is an incredible amount of energy contained in the materials still going into landfills. We have the technology, it is generally referred to as gasification, to turn at least 90% of those materials into energy but we are simply not doing it.

Hubby has been working on a gasifier for our homestead. It is still out in the future but I can't wait for him to get it done.
Thank you for the input and insight. I have also been told that the wind turbines maybe break even so your info is even more discouraging. And yes, I have read and heard from a couple of sources that the propeller type blades alone, use so much raw material that is not recycleable.... so put into a landfilll.... The old type windmills used either wood or metal so there was some pluses.... recycle the metal and/or the wood would rot or could be burnt.... but they are supposedly not efficient for electricity production....

Diesel fuel here, " on road" is pushing 2.90/gallon. Gas just went up another 5 cents a gallon yesterday.....
 

CrealCritter

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I can't believe I'm having to resort to common sense and grade school mathematics! Come On, Good Lord
IMG_20210204_224814_972.jpg
 

CrealCritter

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No, I am referring to the new Jerusalem, which will be set up after the Tribulation period. It is my humble opinion that we can't be far from the time when Jesus states, ENOUGH.... Then, his people are removed, to let those who remain fend for themselves in this fecal pit.

You and I live in the third dimension... I completely understand your words in the third dimension (Spiritual). But we must remember our Father's promise. "May your Kingdom come soon. May your will be done on earth, as it is in heaven." And what that would look like for the second dimension (earth) and even down to the first dimension (a physical being).

Makes sense, I hope???

Second harvest comes first though.
 

CrealCritter

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I do wonder. But for centuries people have said the same. So I worry but don't know.
It does look like the down fall is coming for the "last" great nation.
Trust Almighty God, His Words are Truth and his Timing is Perfect.

"However, no one knows the day or hour when these things will happen, not even the angels in heaven or the Son himself. Only the Father knows. When the Son of Man returns, it will be like it was in Noah’s day."

And no more T \o/
 

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